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European Heart Journal 2003 24(24):2197-2205; doi:10.1016/j.ehj.2003.09.019
Copyright © 2003 by the European Society of Cardiology.
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Clinical research

Post menopausal hormone replacement therapy and risk of acute myocardial infarction — a case control study of women in the East Midlands, UK1

Clair E.D. Chilversa, Rebecca C. Knibba, Sarah J. Armstronga, Kent L. Woodsb and Richard F.A. Logana,*

a Division of Epidemiology and Public Health and Trent Institute for Health Services Research, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
b Division of Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK

* Correspondence to: Professor Richard Logan, Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, University Hospital, Queen’s Medical Centre, Nottingham NG7 2UH, UK. Tel: +44 115 970 9308; fax: +44 115 970 9316
E-mail address: richard.logan{at}nottingham.ac.uk

Received 23 April 2003; revised 8 September 2003; accepted 19 September 2003

Abstract

Aims To examine the relationship between hormone replacement therapy (HRT) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) adjusting for coronary risk factors and social and behavioural confounders that might indicate a healthy user effect and could account for the discrepancy between randomized and observational studies of HRT use.

Methods A case-control study of 864 women aged between 35–65 suffering an AMI with two age matched community controls from the same geographical area. Information was collected by interview and from general practitioner records. Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (OR) adjusted for diabetes, hypertension, smoking, alcohol, social class, family history and a health conscious behaviour score.

Results HRT use was recorded for 34% of non-fatal AMI cases and 39% of controls with the adjusted OR for ever-use of HRT versus never-use being 0.74 (95% CI 0.55–0.99). The pattern of risk of AMI was similar for oestrogen only and combined HRT. During the first 12 months of HRT use there was a small increase in risk of AMI with the adjusted OR being 1.14 (0.72–1.80). HRT use for 13–60 months was associated with a small reduction in AMI risk (adjusted OR 0.85, 0.55–1.29). Only HRT used for >60 months was associated with a substantial risk reduction (adjusted OR 0.42, 0.24–0.73). Data for deceased cases and controls showed a similar pattern.

Conclusion HRT use whether as oestrogen only or combined hormones was only associated with a significant reduction in risk when used for greater than 60 months. These findings could reflect a dual effect of HRT on AMI risk by prothrombotic and anti-atherogenic mechanisms. Neither oestrogen only or combined HRT can be recommended for prevention of coronary artery disease.

Key Words: Myocardial infarction • Hormone replacementtherapy


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