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European Heart Journal Advance Access originally published online on January 19, 2009
European Heart Journal 2009 30(3):362-371; doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehn605
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Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. © The Author 2009. For permissions please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Prognostic utility of 64-slice computed tomography in patients with suspected but no documented coronary artery disease

Thomas P. Carrigan1, Deepu Nair1, Paul Schoenhagen1,2, Ronan J. Curtin1,2, Zoran B. Popovic1, Sandra Halliburton2, Stacie Kuzmiak2, Richard D. White3, Scott D. Flamm1,2 and Milind Y. Desai1,2,*

1 Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Desk F 15, Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, 9500 Euclid Avenue, Cleveland, OH 44195, USA
2 Imaging Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA
3 Department of Radiology, University of Florida, Jacksonville, FL, USA

Received 31 July 2008; revised 11 December 2008; accepted 22 December 2008; online publish-ahead-of-print 19 January 2009.

* Corresponding author. Tel: +1 216 445 5250, Fax: +1 216 636 0679, Email: desaim2{at}ccf.org

Aims: Although multislice computed tomography (MSCT) detects obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) with high diagnostic accuracy, there is a paucity of long-term prognostic data. We sought to assess the incremental prognostic value of 64-slice CT in patients with suspected but no documented CAD.

Methods and results: Coronary MSCT was performed on 227 individuals (61% men, mean age 54 ± 12 years, 63% with intermediate pre-test probability) without documented CAD, referred for coronary evaluation. Coronary artery disease by MSCT was categorized as follows: none or mild CAD (<50%, n = 172), ≥50% in one vessel (n = 23), two vessels [or in the proximal left anterior descending (LAD), n = 12], and three vessels (or in two vessels including the proximal LAD or left main, n = 20). Baseline risk factors, length of follow-up, and major adverse cardiac events (MACE), including cardiac death, myocardial infarction (MI), and coronary revascularization were recorded. Over a mean follow-up of 2.3 ± 0.8 years, there were 18 MACE [including four hard events (one cardiac death and three MIs)]. Also, patients with one or more vessel obstructive CAD had increased hard events compared with those with less than one-vessel disease (log-rank statistic P-value 0.01). One or more vessel obstructive CAD was a significant predictor of MACE on univariable and multivariable Cox proportional survival analysis [hazard ratios 29.1 (6.7–126.6) and 9.82 (3.58–27.01), respectively, both P < 0.0001]. In 172 patients, with no or mild CAD, there was 99% freedom from MACE during follow-up.

Conclusion: Multislice computed tomography-classified extent of CAD provides incremental prognostic information in patients with suspected but no documented CAD.

Key Words: Multislice computed tomography • Coronary arteries and prognosis


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