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European Heart Journal Advance Access published online on August 4, 2006

European Heart Journal, doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehl182
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European Heart Journal © The European Society of Cardiology 2006; all rights reserved
Received September 8, 2005
Revised June 8, 2006
Accepted July 14, 2006

Clinical research

Weight-change as a prognostic marker in 12 550 patients following acute myocardial infarction or with stable coronary artery disease

Linn M.A. Kennedy 1 *, Kenneth Dickstein 2, Stefan D. Anker 3, Margaret James 4, Thomas J. Cook 4, Krister Kristianson 5, and Ronnie Willenheimer 1

1 Department of Cardiology, Malmö University Hospital, Lund University, S-205 02 Malmö, Sweden
2 Cardiology Division, Stavanger University Hospital, University of Bergen, Norway
3 Division of Applied Cachexia Research, Department of Cardiology, Charité Campus Virchow Klinikum, Berlin, Germany
4 Merck & Co., Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA
5 Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Institution for Laboratory Medicine, Karolinska University Hospital, Huddinge, Sweden

* To whom correspondence should be addressed.
Linn M.A. Kennedy, E-mail: linn.kennedy{at}med.lu.se


   Abstract

Aims To examine the prognostic importance of weight-change in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), especially following acute myocardial infarction (AMI).

Methods and results In 4360 AMI patients (OPTIMAAL trial) without baseline oedema, we assessed 3-month weight-change, baseline body mass index (BMI), demographics, patient history, medication, physical examination, and biochemical analyses. Weight-change was defined as change >±0.1 kg/baseline BMI-unit. Patients were accordingly categorized into three groups; weight-loss, weight-stability, and weight-gain. Our findings were validated in 4012 AMI patients (CONSENSUS II trial) and 4178 stable CAD patients (79% with prior AMI, 4S trial). Median follow-up was 2.7 years, 3 months, and 4.4 years, respectively. In OPTIMAAL, 3-month weight-loss (vs. weight-stability) independently predicted increased all-cause death [n = 471; hazard ratio (HR) 1.26; 95% CI 1.01-1.56; P = 0.039] and cardiac death (n = 299, HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.02-1.73, P = 0.034). Weight-gain yielded risk similar to weight-stability (HR 1.07, P = 0.592 and 0.97, P = 0.866, respectively). In CONSENSUS II, 3-month weight-loss independently predicted increased mortality (HR 3.87, P = 0.008). Weight-gain yielded risk similar to weight-stability (HR 1.11, P = 0.860). In 4S, 1-year weight-loss independently predicted increased mortality (HR 1.44, P = 0.004). Weight-gain conferred risk similar to weight-stability (HR 1.05, P = 0.735).

Conclusion In patients following AMI or with stable CAD, weight-loss but not weight-gain was independently associated with increased mortality risk.

Keywords: Coronary artery disease; Acute myocardial infarction; Weight-change; Prognosis; Mortality.
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